2023 mlb hall of fame predictions

Here are 15 predictions to ring in 2023. Several surpris. Notes: Various groups of Hall of Fame members and others charged with the induction of players who were not voted in by the BBWAA, as well as Negro League players and non-playing personnel (including managers, owners, and executives). Any candidate who receives votes on 75 percent of all ballots cast will earn election to the Hall of Fame. Win Expectancy, Run Expectancy, and Leverage Index calculations provided by Tom Tango of InsideTheBook.com, and co-author of The Book: Playing the Percentages in Baseball. Times running out for A-Rod and Manny, but the BBWAA can still do right be them. While unofficial, these are some of the top players Baseball Reference lists as potentially making the ballot next year. With controversial figures Barry Bonds, Curt Schilling, Sammy Sosa, and Roger Clemens no longer eligible, select analysts from The Athletes Hub will answer questions surrounding this years intriguing line-up which includes returning superstars Alex Rodriguez and Manny Ramirez as well as many other notable names hoping to register improved results or gain election on their first attempt. Rolen dashed out of the gates with the Phillies, winning Rookie of the Year in 1997, and then saw his star grow even brighter after a trade to the Cardinals in 2002. Davis Byrd: This would normally be the time I would wax poetic on the grave injustice it is that Billy Wagner isnt in the Hall already, but Im going to go a different route this time and say Todd Helton. Find out more. How will a potential 2023 Baseball Hall of Fame ballot look? The 2023 Baseball Hall of Fame ballot was revealed on Monday. three received more than 50 percent of the vote in 2022. With some big names off the ballot, it's difficult to know how next year's vote could fall. 2012 NL Cy Young Award winner R.A. Dickey pitched in 15 seasons with Rangers, Mariners, Twins, Mets, Blue Jays and Braves. provided to the Baseball Writers of America Association. He was . With the 2020-21 NHL season underway, we more or less have our class of new eligibles for the 2023 Hall of Fame locked in. Holdover candidates like Rolen, Todd Helton, Billy Wagner, Andruw Jones, Gary Sheffield, Alex Rodriguez and Jeff Kent, who all sat around the 30-60% range of the vote, could pick up some votes that went to Bonds & Co. Sign up to receive our daily Morning Lineup to stay in the know about the latest trending topics around Major League Baseball. The group is headlined by Scott Rolen, who was second percentage-wise in voting in 2022. I think they end up keeping him from becoming a first ballot Hall-of-Famer as a quasi-punishment for his involvement with the 2017 Astros, but based on his resume, he is a clear first ballot candidate. We are less than two weeks into the 2023 calendar year, but we've got bold predictions of a litany of things that will go down in Major League Baseball over the course of the next 11.5 months. The Baseball Writers Association of America revealed the newest ballot on Monday. Relievers are such a unique case that Jay Jaffe had to create a new JAWS metric called R-JAWS (reliever JAWS) just for relievers to offset the starting pitching WAR from some of the relief candidates. The only players ahead of him that have yet to be elected are the perennially underrated Kenny Lofton, the first-year eligible Carlos Beltrn, and the active Mike Trout. As of the most recent update to the ballot tracker Ive mentioned, Jones was trending upwards this year as the second biggest riser amongst the pack of potential inductees with a net 21 votes gained just behind Todd Helton. Writers can select up to 10 players on their ballot. 25 Main Street, Cooperstown, NY 13326 Phone: 1-888-HALL-OF-FAME | 607-547-7200 | Fax: 607-547-0398. K-Rod had 437 career saves, fourth all-time behind Hall of Famers Mariano Rivera, Trevor Hoffman and Lee Smith, and is MLB's single-season saves record-holder with the 62 he recorded for the Angels in 2007. With controversial figures Barry Bonds, Curt Schilling, Sammy Sosa, and Roger Clemens no longer eligible, select analysts from The Athletes Hub will answer questions surrounding this year's intriguing line-up which includes returning superstars Alex . Taking a look ahead at the 2023 Baseball Hall of Fame ballot Bonds, Clemens, Schilling, and Sosa all exhausted their 10-year eligibility for Hall of Fame consideration by the Baseball Writers' Association of America (BBWAA), meaning their names will be stricken from the 2023 ballot. (National Baseball Hall of Fame and Museum). Last year, Rodriguez (34.3% of the vote) and Ramirez (28.9%) wouldnt have gotten into the Hall of Fame even if they combined their respective shares of Hall votes. (National Baseball Hall of Fame and Museum). Last year, the seventh since the Hall purged the rolls of voters more than 10 years removed from coverage, 394 ballots were cast, the fewest of any cycle since 2015, the final cycle before the cutdowns. In 17 big league seasons with the Rockies, Todd Helton was named to five All-Star Games and compiled a .316 batting average. Four times (including once with Houston), he finished in the top five for the Cy Young, and another time finished sixth. Yesterday, the Naismith Basketball Hall-of-Fame . There is an interesting case to be made for Francisco Rodrguez however. We'll talk about those players, but first, let's recap the 2022 NBA Hall of Fame class. It's up to Scott Rolen to thwart a shutout Scott Rolen won eight Gold Glove Awards in his career. Rolen's stock has gone up every year he has been on it, while other players could pick up precious votes. On January 24th, the Baseball Writers' Association of America will unveil what players they've chosen for Cooperstown. Will familiar names like Scott Rolen, Todd Helton, and Billy Wagner break through this year? * 21+ (19+ CA-ONT) (18+ NH/WY). Still, there are concerns about the matchup for TCU, and a lot of it will depend on the status of Georgia tight end Darnell Washington.While NFL scouts salivate over what Washington could become as a pass-catcher based on his size and athleticism, what he already is is a tremendous blocker in the run game. Back to the main ballot. We use cookies and other tracking technologies to improve your browsing experience on our site, show personalized content and targeted ads, analyze site traffic, and understand where our audiences come from. Im personally in the camp that they are undervalued in relation to the Hall of Fame and need to be treated differently than other players. This was exemplified in a 2008 microcosm during the month of July when he gave up six runs on 15 hits in a loss against the Texas Rangers, then, just a couple of weeks later, took a no-hitter into the ninth inning against the Red Sox. A players case can grow exponentially from year to year as ballots clear up, voters look harder at resumes, and that dreaded 10th year arrises. Jake listed the statistical portion of the argument for K-Rod but I want to explain the logistics of his case a bit more. 1 of 2. Rolen is on the ballot for the sixth time in 2023. He's fine and still hawking supplements on TV. Helton is 15th on the list for first basemen, everyone ahead of him not named Rafael Palmeiro is in the Hall or will be one day (i.e. With Barry Bonds and Roger Clemens setting the precedent for how suspected and confirmed steroid users with incredible resumes will be treated, there is almost no chance that either of these guys reach the 75% threshold before their time on the ballot expires. Some high school data is courtesy David McWater. 5 bold Phillies predictions for the 2023 MLB season by Tim Boyle. As per that tracker I mentioned earlier, Wagner has garnered 71.1% of the votes, while K-Rod is sat at 7.8%. Gambling problem? The star third baseman has made big leaps in the voting every year he's been on the ballot and is fast closing in on the 75% threshold for election. He posted 60.2 bWAR. To show how unpopular Rolen is with the old crowd, last year Rolen got only 34.2% of the votes from private voters, whereas he went 13 for 15 with the known first time voters (86.7%), and the year before he got 32.4% from private voters while going 11 for 13 with known first time voters (84.6%). b) Hasnt he paid enough for it by immediately losing his managerial gig? A Rolen election would be a massive W for the sabermetric crowd, and would give them enough of a reason to start electing far weaker candidates because their "sabermetric stats" are good, eventually turning the Baseball Hall of Fame into the Basketball Hall of Fame (a place were a just-decent-enough player can be a serious Hall of Fame . Starting off with the only player of the group who starred for the Royals seems right. MORE:MLB Power Rankings, post All-Star Break edition. Hall of Fame Members receive 10% off and FREE standard shipping on all Hall of Fame online store purchases. he was inducted into the Hall of Fame in . Undoubtedly, the link to steroid abuse looms large for three-time AL MVP A-Rod and Manny with his career .996 OPS. What trends from last year's voting could continue this cycle? Enough waffling on that point though. The Baseball Hall of Fame released its 2023 ballot Monday with Manny Ramrez, lex Rodrguez, Scott Rolen and Todd Helton among those who garnered enough votes last year to remain in. Helton won one batting title in his career, won three Gold Glove Awards, four Silver Slugger Awards, was a five-time All Star. Andy Pettitte and having a future Hall of Fame center in the pivot would be ideal for whoever starts at quarterback in 2023. . Sheffield was a wee bit of a liability in the field (Baseball-Reference docks 27.7 WAR for his, uh, lack of defense), but man, could he hit. First, a player must be retired for four full seasons. The SPORTS REFERENCE and STATHEAD trademarks are owned exclusively by Sports Reference LLC. Va. Senate Democrats kill effort to repeal electric car rule. If anyone stands a chance to get inducted next year, it's going to be Scott Rolen. That, in turn, leads to another problem, one exemplified by the unanimous election of Fred McGriff by the Contemporary Era committee, which consists of former players and former or current executives and others inside the game: The writers and the Hall of Fame members are not on the same page on who should be elected to the Hall of Fame. Todd Helton (52 percent) and Billy Wagner (51 percent) are the only other candidates who received at least 50 percent of the BBWAA vote in 2022. Logos were compiled by the amazing SportsLogos.net. That is a bizarre, and false, concept. Privacy Statement/Your California Privacy Rights. (Brad Mangin/National Baseball Hall of Fame and Museum). 1. Please also read our Privacy Notice and Terms of Use, which became effective December 20, 2019. All logos are the trademark & property of their owners and not Sports Reference LLC. Jones has a very clear Hall of Fame resume. Rolen is on the ballot for the sixth time in 2023. 8. Jered Weaver posted double-digit win totals in 10 seasons, including an American League-leading 20 wins in 2012 and AL-best 18 wins in 2014. First year on the ballotPlayed 15 seasons for Indians, Tigers and CardinalsThree-time All-Star (2011, 2013, 2015) who topped the 20-homer mark five times (2005, 2007-08, 2011, 2014) as a shortstopReached the 100-runs scored mark once (2008) and hit .300 once (2013)Recorded eight seasons with at least 70 RBI (2005, 2007-11, 2014-15)Led AL shortstops in assists (452) and putouts (249) in 2007Career fielding percentage at shortstop of .980 ranks 13th all-timeAppeared in 12 Postseason series over six seasons, hitting .256 with 18 runs scored, eight homers and 26 RBI in 58 gamesMember of Tigers 2012 American League championship team. Where Jones stands out the most is his WAR7, otherwise known as the sum of the seven best WAR seasons for a player. Besides Rolen, Helton (52%) and Wagner (51%) are the only returning players who got at least half the vote on the 2022 ballot. Jones began his MLB career very young. Scott Rolen, Todd Helton and Billy Wagner were all over 50 percent in 2022; on the other end, Torii Hunter and Mark Buehrle will both make their third appearances after barely clearing the 5 percent vote cutoff. First year on the ballotPitched 15 seasons for Angels, Red Sox, Cardinals and CubsPosted double-digit win totals in all but one season his rookie year of 2002, when he went 9-4 and finished fourth in the AL Rookie of the Year voting while helping the Angels win the World SeriesReceived Cy Young Award votes in two seasons: 2007 (3rd) and 2015 (9th)Named to 2007 All-Star Game in a season where he led the American League in ERA (3.01) and shutouts (two)Also led AL with two shutouts in 2003 and 2006Topped 200-innings pitched mark in six seasons (2003, 2005-07, 2010, 2015)Appeared in 19 Postseason series over 10 seasons (9 LDS, 7 LCS and 3 World Series), posting 8-6 record with 3.44 ERAMember of three World Series-winning teams: 2002 Angels (when he started and won Game 7), 2013 Red Sox and 2016 Cubs. Matt Partridge: Other than Beltrn, no name leaps off the page to me as a first-time calibre entrant, but when you dig a little deeper and begin to consider factors such as longevity, clutch, reliability, and regular performances on the center-stage, my vote would go to John Lackey. The 2023 Ford C. Frick Award will be bestowed as part of the Awards Presentation. (Pat McDermott Photography), National Baseball Hall of Fame and Museum, 25 Main Street,Cooperstown, NY 13326Phone: 1-888-HALL-OF-FAME | 607-547-7200 | Fax: 607-547-0398. Jake mentioned it earlier that according to JAWS hes the ninth-most Hall of Fame-worthy center fielder ever ahead of some Hall members like Andre Dawson and Richie Ashburn. Lets hope these feats dont go unnoticed by the voters. In two weeks (January 24), the Baseball Writers' Association of America will announce the results of its 2023 Hall of Fame election. Many historical player head shots courtesy of David Davis. Published July 26, 2022. Ortiz was the only player voted in by the Baseball Writers' Association of America. Based on these advanced metrics, it would seem that not only is Beltrn one of the best switch-hitters ever, but he is also a top-10 center fielder all time regardless of handedness. Hell see a big boost in 2023. Rolen was committed to playing basketball at Georgia before he signed with the Phillies as a second-round pick in 1993. If youre new to this whole controversy, Beltrn is widely considered to have been the veteran mastermind reportedly behind the elaborate sign stealing scandal that still more or less clouds the Astros organization even five years later. For his career, he was worth 62.8 bWAR while going to five All-Star Games, winning one Silver Slugger, and capturing 10 Gold Gloves in a row. His career stolen base success rate of 85.16 ranks third all-time among players with at least 100 stolen base attempts. But that doesn't mean their Hall of Fame chances are over. Bobby Abreu drove in 100 or more runs eight times, scored 100 or more runs eight times and drew 100 or more walks eight times. First year on the ballotPitched 16 seasons with the Pirates, Red Sox, Reds and Diamondbacks2006 All-Star led his league in games started twice (2006, 2008) and innings pitched once (2006)Finished 12th in National League Cy Young Award voting in 2010 and also won Gold Glove Award that yearLed NL in shutouts with two in 2009Reached double-digits in victories in eight seasonsReached 200-innings pitched mark in eight seasonsPitched in seven Postseason series over five seasons, going 1-0 with 4.60 ERA over 12 games, including four startsMember 2004 Red Sox World Series title team. Who Was Inducted into the 2022 NBA Hall of Fame? Beltrn was a nine-time All-Star, won Rookie of the Year in 99, brought home three Gold Glove Awards and two Silver Slugger Awards. AZ, CO, CT, IL, IN, IA, KS, LA, (select parishes), MD, MI, NH, NJ, NY, OH, OR, PA, TN, VA, WV, WY, CA-ONT only.Eligibility restrictions apply. He's essentially an extra tackle in Georgia's rushing attack. Lets talk and buck that narrative now, shall we? K-Rod finished his career with 437 saves to Wagners 422. Baseball Hall of Famer voters are notorious for making players sweat, so these players have made their bones. (Michael Ivins/Boston Red Sox). And Joe makes his case for Mark Buehrle!SUBSCRIBE, Rate and Review on iTunes!PropUp on ThriveFantasy this NBA season! He racked up the 18th-most bWAR (60.5) by a right fielder and rates out as the 24th-most Hall-worthy right fielder by JAWS. Why Torii Hunter's Hall of Fame case is stronger than you think. To summarize, I do think hell top 20% this time around as voters will see his name and link it positively to part of a noteworthy period of baseball history. The Royals may be in the market for a third catcher. God forbid the BBWAA vote in someone with a bit of character these days. This is essential to Jones case because of his late-career drop off due to injuries, and it reveals the otherworldly excellence of his peak. Come out and see the Royals before they leave for Arizona! The National Baseball Hall of Fame this morning announced the eight players who'll be considered for induction by the Era Committee, formerly . The player with the best shot is Scott Rolen. The Class of 2022, featuring Bud Fowler, Gil Hodges, Jim Kaat, Minnie Mioso, Buck O'Neil, Tony Oliva and David Ortiz, was inducted on July 24. The blemishes that likely clouded voters decisions in the past were the aforementioned deficiencies in the field and links to the BALCO performance-enhancing drugs scandal. Lets not overthink this: dude played electrifying baseball for years, posted a career .837 OPS while accumulating north of 70 bWAR, won two Silver Sluggers, three Gold Gloves, made nine All-Star teams, and won Rookie of the Year. Wagners career ERA was 2.31 and his WHIP was 1.00. His case is pretty clear. This Month in Sports ReferenceFind out when we add a feature or make a change. Jhonny Peralta was a three-time All-Star who topped the 20-homer mark five times as a shortstop. Yes, yes, I know all about why he wont get in, but its really odd to keep a guy out just because hes sort of owning the Timberwolves. The trouble facing Beltrn, much like Bonds, Schilling, et al, is the lingering controversy of off-field antics, and he will likely forever be tainted as one of the leaders identified by MLB in the sign-stealing scandal of the 2017 World Series victory by the Astros. Kevin Skiver is a content producer at The Sporting News. In terms of WAR, Beltrn stands out as the eighth-best center fielder of all time with 70.1 bWAR, putting him in between Joe DiMaggio and Kenny Lofton among his peers. In 15 seasons, John Lakey posted double-digit win totals in all but one. The sign-stealing had minimal impact on his own personal stat lines and I believe there is a strong case for this being overlooked and Beltrn being enshrined. Baseball References JAWS metric (Jay Jaffes metric that measures a players Hall of Fame worthiness based on career and seven-year peak WAR) suggests that Beltrn is the ninth-most Hall-worthy center fielder ever (behind Duke Snider). Newcomers on the ballot in 2023 will feature Carlos Beltran, John Lackey and Jered Weaver. Major League Baseball's 2022 trade deadline was an absolute barn burner, mainly set afire by megadeals involving Juan Soto, Josh Hader and Luis Castillo. A player whose career began in 1984, would have a career that ended by the early 2000s and is therefore 10 years removed from playing, and therefore eligble for the Hall of Fame, per the Baseball Writers' Association of America's Hall of Fame elibility rules. (Rich Pilling/National Baseball Hall of Fame and Museum). If you care to hear any of those rants, you can watch myself and Jake Crumpler on the podcast we do every Wednesday at 9 PM EST entitled Free Baseball on this sites accompanying Twitter account. When it comes to R-JAWS, his case becomes even more clear. Ninth year on the ballotPlayed 22 seasons for Brewers, Padres, Marlins, Dodgers, Braves, Yankees, Tigers and MetsNamed to nine All-Star Games (1992-93, 1996, 1998-2000, 2003-05)Won five Silver Slugger Awards: One as third baseman (1992) and four as outfielder (1996, 2003-05)Finished in Top 10 of his leagues Most Valuable Player voting six times: 1992 (3rd), 1996 (6th), 2000 (9th), 2003 (3rd), 2004 (2nd), 2005 (8th)Hit 20-or-more home runs in 14 seasons, including eight with 30-or-more and two (1996, 2000) with at least 40 home runsRecorded at least 100 RBI in eight seasons (1992, 1996, 1999-2001, 2003-05), and scored 100-or-more runs in seven seasons (1996, 1999-2000, 2003-05, 2007)Led league in batting average once (1992), total bases once (1992) and on-base percentage once (1996)Posted a .300-or-better batting average in eight full seasons (1992, 1996, 1998-2003)Ranks 21st all-time in walks (1,475), 26th in home runs (509), 30th in RBI (1,676) and 35th in total bases (4,737)Appeared in nine Postseason series over six seasons with Marlins, Braves and Yankees, hitting .248 with six home runs, 19 RBI and 27 runs scored in 44 gamesMember of 1997 World Series Champion Marlins. Todd Helton (52 percent) and Billy Wagner (51 percent) are the only other candidates who received at least 50 percent of the BBWAA vote in 2022. So these players have made their bones STATHEAD trademarks are owned exclusively by Reference. Receives votes on 75 percent of the votes, while other players could pick up precious votes ballot in will! Street, Cooperstown, NY 13326 Phone: 1-888-HALL-OF-FAME | 607-547-7200 | Fax: 607-547-0398 Phone: 1-888-HALL-OF-FAME | |... Break edition otherwise known as the 24th-most Hall-worthy right fielder and rates out as the sum of vote... Argument for K-Rod but I want to explain the logistics of his case a bit of character these days became. Basketball at Georgia before he signed with the Rockies, Todd Helton was named to five Games... Was named to five All-Star Games and compiled a.316 batting average Cooperstown... 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